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Quote by Geoffrey Blainey

“The birth of the 20th century was like a flaming sunrise. More was expected of the century than any other. So much had been achieved in the previous one that it seemed sensible to expect that henceforth the world's triumphs would far outweigh the disasters.”

Quote by Geoffrey Blainey

Book:A Short History of the Twentieth Century
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A Short History of the Twentieth Century

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Geoffrey Blainey
Geoffrey Blainey

Geoffrey Blainey is an Australian historian renowned for his research on Australian history. His extensive works cover various aspects from European colonization to modern Australia. more

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“Base your understanding of the world on data, rather than journalism. Journalism is a highly non random sample of the worst things that have happened in any given period. It is an availability machine, in the sense of Tversky and Kahneman's availability heuristic; namely - our sense of risk, danger and prevalence is driven by anecdotes, images and narratives that are available in memory. A lot of good things are either things that "don't happen" (like a country at peace, or a city that has not been attacked by terrorists, which almost by definition are not news), or things that build up incrementally, a few percentage points a year, and then compound (like the decline of extreme poverty). We can be unaware, out to lunch about what's happening in the world if we base our view on the news. If instead we base our view on data, then not only do we see that many (although not all) things have gone better (not linearly, not without setbacks and reversals, but in general a lot better... and that paradoxically, as I've cheekily put it, progressives hate progress), but also that the best possible case for progress - that is, for striving for more progress in the future, for being a true progressive - is not to have some kind of foolish hope, but to look at the fact that progress has taken place in the past; and that means: why should it stop now?”

ProgressNewsOptimismJournalismDataPessimismMass MediaProgressivismCognitive BiasesWorldview And Perception
Author:Steven Pinker
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