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Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

Book by Annie Duke · 2 quotes · Choice, Opportunity Cost, Path

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Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts Quotes

“There is always opportunity cost in choosing one path over others. The betting elements of decisions—choice, probability, risk, etc.—are more obvious in some situations than others. Investments are clearly bets. A decision about a stock (buy, don’t buy, sell, hold, not to mention esoteric investment options) involves a choice about the best use of financial resources. Incomplete information and factors outside of our control make all our investment choices uncertain. We evaluate what we can, figure out what we think will maximize our investment money, and execute. Deciding not to invest or not to sell a stock, likewise, is a bet. These are the same decisions I make during a hand of poker: fold, check, call, bet, or raise.”

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Book:Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
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“Whenever we choose an alternative (whether it is taking a new job or moving to Des Moines for month), we are automatically rejecting every other possible choice. All those rejected alternatives are paths to possible futures where things could be better or worse than the path we chose. There is potential opportunity cost in any choice we forgo.”

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Book:Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
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