“Forecasters tend to learn less and less about more and more, until in the end they know nothing about everything.” KnowsEndsKnowledge Author:Edgar Fiedler
“When you know absolutely nothing about the topic, make your forecast by asking a carefully selected probability sample of 300 others who don't know the answer either.” KnowsAnswersAskingTopicsProbabilityAbsolutely NothingSelectedSampleForecasts Author:Edgar Fiedler