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Quote by Nate Silver

“Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome.”

Quote by Nate Silver

Author

Nate Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and election forecaster. He is best known for accurately predicting the outcomes of the 2008 and 2012 U.S. presidential elections using statistical models. Silver founded the FiveThirtyEight website, which focuses on data-driven journalism in politics, sports, and science. His book 'The Signal and the Noise' explores the art and science of prediction. Silver's work emphasizes transparency and rigorous analysis, making him a leading figure in the data journalism movement. more

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“We are living our lives more online and you need to have different ways to capture that.”

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“We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.”

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Book:The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

Source: The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't

“We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.”

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Author:Nate Silver

“You get steely nerves playing poker.”

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“The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times. And so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.”

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Author:Nate Silver

“Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.”

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Author:Nate Silver

“I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience.”

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“The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions.”

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“You have to think an awful lot about your motivations or people's behavioral intentions or what their body language can indicate or what's really going on or what makes people sometimes do, sometimes, the irrational things they do.”

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Author:Ron Silver

“The joke of our time is the suicide of intention.”

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Book:Minima Moralia: Reflections on a Damaged Life

Source: Minima Moralia: Reflections on a Damaged Life