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Quote by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

“My point taken further is that True and False (hence what we call "belief") play a poor, secondary role in human decisions; it is the payoff from the True and the False that dominates-and it is almost always asymmetric, with one consequence much bigger than the other, i.e., harboring positive and negative asymmetries (fragile or antifragile). Let me explain.”

Book:Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder

Work

Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder

Nassim Nicholas Taleb's book challenges traditional notions of resilience and fragility, arguing that certain systems and individuals benefit from disorder and volatility. It examines the principles of antifragility across multiple disciplines, providing insights into how to navigate uncertainty and chaos effectively. more

Author

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a renowned author, scholar, and thinker whose unique perspective and profound insights have had a wide-reaching impact in fields such as finance, statistics, and philosophy. He is best known for his books 'The Black Swan' and 'Fooled by Randomness', which have explored the nature of uncertainty, risk, and probability theory. more

“If you sat with a pencil and jotted down all the decisions you've taken in the past week, or, if you could, over your lifetime, you would realize that almost all of them have had asymmetric payoff, with one side carrying a larger consequence than the other. You decide principally based on fragility, not probability. Or to rephrase, You decide principally based on fragility, not so much on True/False.”

Ifs Past Sides Realizing Decision Taken Week Consequence Lifetime Sat Over You Probability Pencils Fragility Payoff

Author:Nassim Nicholas Taleb

“One thing I want to emphasize is that, like any human being, we can discuss our view of the economy and the market. Fortunately for our clients, we don't tend to operate based on the view. Our investment strategy is to invest bottom up, one stock at a time, based on price compared to value. And while we may have a macro view that things aren't very good right now - which in fact we feel very strongly we will put money to work regardless of that macro view if we find bargains. So tomorrow, if we found half a dozen bargains, we would invest all our cash.”