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Quote by Herman Kahn

“My guess is that nuclear weapons will be used sometime in the next hundred years, but that their use is much more likely to be small and limited than widespread and unconstrained.”

Quote by Herman Kahn

Book:The Essential Herman Kahn: In Defense of Thinking

Work

The Essential Herman Kahn: In Defense of Thinking

This book is a collection of Herman Kahn's influential essays, exploring the significance of rigorous thinking and analysis in understanding and addressing complex problems. Kahn, a renowned strategist and futurist, delves into topics such as nuclear strategy, technological advancements, and the implications of global change. more

Author

Herman Kahn was a renowned strategist, born on February 15, 1922, and died on July 7, 1983. He made significant contributions to nuclear war and strategic studies during the Cold War era, known as the 'father of nuclear war theory'. more

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“New developments in weapon systems during the 1950s and early 1960s created a situation that was most dangerous, and even conducive to accidental war.”

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Book:The Essential Herman Kahn: In Defense of Thinking

Source: The Essential Herman Kahn: In Defense of Thinking

“Nuclear war is such an emotional subject that many people see the weapons themselves as the common enemy of humanity.”

People War Humanity Common Enemy Subjects Emotional Weapons Nuclear Nuclear War Common Enemy

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“Nuclear weapons are intrinsically neither moral nor immoral, though they are more prone to immoral use than most weapons.”

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“Only those who are ideologically opposed to military programs think of the defense budget as the first and best place to get resources for social welfare needs.”

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“The objective of nuclear-weapons policy should not be solely to decrease the number of weapons in the world, but to make the world safer - which is not necessarily the same thing.”

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Book:The Essential Herman Kahn: In Defense of Thinking

Source: The Essential Herman Kahn: In Defense of Thinking

“The widespread diffusion of nuclear weapons would make many nations able, and in some cases also create the pressure, to aggravate an on-going crisis, or even touch off a war between two other powers for purposes of their own.”

Two War Able Purpose Nations Cases Weapons Pressure Crisis Nuclear Nuclear Weapons Aggravation Diffusion

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“There was no race - but to the extent that there was an arms competition, it was almost entirely on the Soviet side, first to catch up and then to surpass the Americans.”

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Book:The Essential Herman Kahn: In Defense of Thinking

Source: The Essential Herman Kahn: In Defense of Thinking

“To the extent that these advanced weapons or their components are treated as articles of commerce, perhaps for peaceful uses as in the Plowshare program, their cost would be well within the resources available to many large private organizations.”

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“World War I broke out largely because of an arms race, and World War II because of the lack of an arms race.”

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“To be able to make decisions and see them come to fruition and feel the excitement around them, what it generates within the company, how the artists get motivated — that's the most rewarding part; feeling I can be a catalyst for an artistic experience for our artists and for the public.”

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