“What happens with fear is that probability doesn't matter very much. That is, once I have raised the possibility that something terrible can happen to your child, even though the possibility is remote, you may find it very difficult to think of anything else. Emotion becomes dominant.” ThinkingMayChildrenMatterHappensFearDifficultEmotionPossibilityTerribleOur ChildrenRaisedYour ChildrenDominantProbability Author:Daniel Kahneman
“A person who is psychic is following a line of probability to see a probable future; but it can change. Another causal fact will interfere and that future won't happen.” PersonsFactsHappensLinesSeeingFollowingInterfereProbabilityPsychics Author:Frederick Lenz
“If to enjoy even an enjoyable present we must have the assurance of a happy future, we are “crying for the moon.” We have no such assurance. The best predictions are still matters of probability rather than certainty, and to the best of our knowledge every one of us is going to suffer and die. If, then, we cannot live happily without an assured future, we are certainly not adapted to living in a finite world where, despite the best plans, accidents will happen, and where death comes at the end.” IfsWorldStillsEndsMatterHappensSufferingDiesEnjoyPlansCryMoonAccidentsDespiteCertaintyPredictionsProbabilityFiniteAssuranceAssuredEnjoyableAdaptedIf Then Book:The Wisdom of Insecurity Source: The Wisdom of Insecurity
“If often happens too, both in courts and in cabinets, that there are two things going on together,--a main plot and an under-plot; and he that understands only one of them will, in all probability, be the dupe of both. A mistress may rule a monarch, but some obscure favorite may rule the mistress.” IfsMayTwoHappensTogetherCourtTwo ThingsPlotObscureProbabilityIntrigueMistressCabinetsMonarchsDupes Book:Lacon: Or, Many Things in Few Words, Addressed to Those who Think Source: Lacon: Or, Many Things in Few Words, Addressed to Those who Think