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Past Quotes

“Historical science is not worse, more restricted, or less capable of achieving firm conclusions because experiment, prediction, and subsumption under invariant laws of nature do not represent its usual working methods. The sciences of history use a different mode of explanation, rooted in the comparative and observational richness in our data. We cannot see a past event directly, but science is usually based on inference, not unvarnished observation (you don't see electrons, gravity, or black holes either).”

“In the past two decades anthropologists have gathered data on life and death in pre-state societies rather than accepting the warm and fuzzy stereotypes. What did they find? In a nutshell: Hobbes was right, Rousseau was wrong.”

Two States Past Accepting Warm Decades Data Life And Death Stereotype Fuzzy Anthropologists Hobbes Warm And Fuzzy

Author:Steven Pinker

“The same past data can confirm a theory and its exact opposite! If you survive until tomorrow, it could mean that either a) you are more likely to be immortal or b) that you are closer to death.”

Ifs Mean Past Theory Tomorrow Opposites Data Immortal

Book:Incerto 4-Book Bundle: Fooled by Randomness The Black Swan The Bed of Procrustes Antifragile

Source: Incerto 4-Book Bundle: Fooled by Randomness The Black Swan The Bed of Procrustes Antifragile

“While data can only tell you what has happened in the past, it can in some ways give you a sense of what might be of interest to an audience in the future.”

Way Giving Might Past Interest Audience Happened Data

Author:Kevin Spacey

“The whole enterprise of teaching managers is steeped in the ethic of data-driven analytical support. The problem is, the data is only available about the past. So the way weve taught managers to make decisions and consultants to analyze problems condemns them to taking action when its too late.”

Way Whole Problem Action Past Decision Support Teaching Taught Late Ethics Available Driven Managers Data Enterprise Too Late Taking Action Consultants

Author:Clayton Christensen

“Life is made up of a series of judgments on insufficient data, and if we waited to run down all our doubts, it would flow past us.”

Ifs Made Running Past Life Is Doubt Judgment Flow Entrepreneur Series Data Insufficient

Book:The Spirit of Liberty: Papers and Addresses

Source: The Spirit of Liberty: Papers and Addresses