“People dont realize that we cannot forecast the future. What we can do is have probabilities of what causes what, but thats as far as we go. And Ive had a very successful career as a forecaster, starting in 1948 forward. The number of mistakes I have made are just awesome. There is no number large enough to account for that.” PeopleMadeEnoughCausesCan DoRealizingNumbersMistakeCareersSuccessfulAccountsStartingProbabilityForecastsSuccessful Career Author:Alan Greenspan
“The role of the opposition leader differs from that of the chancellor. If this government is to be successful, I have to take the emotional state of all partners into account. Besides, the Social Democrats didn't exactly present me with the motto "Let us dare to have more freedom" on a silver platter.” IfsStatesGovernmentSocialLeaderRolesSuccessfulEmotionalAccountsDemocratDarePartnersBeing SuccessfulOppositionSilverMottoSilver Platter Author:Angela Merkel
“One cannot be successful on visible figures alone ... the most important figures that one needs for management are unknown or unknowable, but successful management must nevertheless take account of them.” NeedsImportantSuccessfulFiguresAccountsManagementVisibleBeing SuccessfulNevertheless Author:W. Edwards Deming
“In psychology, there's something called the broken-leg problem. A statistical formula may be highly successful in predicting whether or not a person will go to a movie in the next week. But someone who knows that this person is laid up with a broken leg will beat the formula. No formula can take into account the infinite range of such exceptional events.” KnowsMayPersonsProblemNextSuccessfulPsychologyWeekEventsBrokenBeatsAccountsInfiniteLegsRangeFormulasExceptionalNext WeekPredictingBroken Leg Author:Atul Gawande