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How to Decide: Simple Tools for Making Better Choices

Book by Annie Duke · 3 quotes · Decision Making, Non Fiction, Productivity

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All Decision Making Non Fiction Productivity Psychology Decision Path Control Outcome Choice Execution Future Goal Influence Irrational Navigation Odd Optimism

How to Decide: Simple Tools for Making Better Choices Quotes

“An accurate picture of the odds is important when you’re choosing a path. But once you’ve already made your choice, then you should switch into irrational optimism for the execution phase.”

Path Optimism Odd Choice Execution Irrational

Book:How to Decide: Simple Tools for Making Better Choices

Source: How to Decide: Simple Tools for Making Better Choices

“Luck exerts its influence between your decision and which of the possible paths you end up on. It is the element you have no control over that determines which of the possible outcomes you actually observe in the short run.”

Decision Path Influence Control Outcome

Book:How to Decide: Simple Tools for Making Better Choices

Source: How to Decide: Simple Tools for Making Better Choices

“If you had a navigation app for your goals and decisions, it would work like a premortem and a backcast and its output would look like the Decision Exploration Table. You’ve identified two broad categories of future events (those within and outside your control) that could decrease or increase your chances of failure or success and made an educated guess about their likelihood. You now have a good map of what might lie in the path on the way to your goal.”

Goal Decision Path Control Navigation

Book:How to Decide: Simple Tools for Making Better Choices

Source: How to Decide: Simple Tools for Making Better Choices