“Our approach to existential risks cannot be one of trial-and-error. There is no opportunity to learn from errors. The reactive approach - see what happens, limit damages, and learn from experience - is unworkable. Rather, we must take a proactive approach. This requires foresight to anticipate new types of threats and a willingness to take decisive preventive action and to bear the costs (moral and economic) of such actions.” HappensActionOpportunityMoralRiskEconomicTypeBearsCostLimitsApproachThreatErrorsTrialsDamageWillingnessExistentialAnticipateForesightProactiveLearning ExperienceTrial And ErrorOpportunities To Learn Author:Nick Bostrom
“How can we trace out the links between actions that people take today and really long-term outcomes for humanity - outcomes that stretch out indefinitely into the future? I call this effort macrostrategy - that is, to think about the really big strategic situation for having a positive impact on the long-term future. There's the butterfly effect: A small change in an initial condition could have arbitrarily large consequences.” PeopleThinkingTodayActionHumanityEffortSituationConsequenceButterflyReally LongPositive Impact Author:Nick Bostrom
