“The world is too big and too intricate to conform to our ideas of what it should be like... Just because we invent myths and theories to explain away the chaos we're still going to live in a world that's older and more complicated than we'll ever understand.” WorldShouldStillsIdeasBigsTheoryLogicChaosComplicatedMythCertaintyUncertaintyReasoningConformIntricateOntology Author:Moby
“Many of life's decisions are hard. What kind of career should you pursue? Does your ailing mother need to be put in a nursing home? You and your spouse already have two kids; should you have a third?such decisions are hard for a number of reasons. For one the stakes are high. There's also a great deal of uncertainty involved. Above all, decisions like these are rare, which means you don't get much practice making them. You've probably gotten good at buying groceries, since you do it so often, but buying your first house is another thing entirely.” NeedsShouldFirstsKindMeanDoeTwoHardReasonHomeKidsMotherHouseDecisionDealsNumbersCareersPracticeInvolvedThirdsPursueUncertaintyBuyingStakesSpouseNursingGroceriesNursing Home Author:Steven Levitt
“To ensure attaining an objective, one should have alternate objectives. An attack that converges on one point should threaten, and be able to diverge against another. Only by this flexibility of aim can strategy be attuned to the uncertainty of war.” ShouldWarAbleMilitaryShould HaveAimStrategyObjectivesUncertaintyFlexibility Author:B. H. Liddell Hart
“It is not surprising that in talking about uncertainty we should lean heavily on facts, just as the court of law does when interrogating witnesses. Facts form a sort of bedrock on which we can build the shifting sands of uncertainty.” ShouldDoeFactsFormLawTalkingCourtWitnessUncertaintySandSurprisingShiftingBedrockShifting Sand Author:Dennis Lindley