“The basic aggregate measure of gearing or leverage is telling us that today's advanced economies' operating systems are more heavily dependent on private sector credit than anything we have ever seen before. Furthermore, this pattern is seen across all the advanced economies, and isn't just a feature of some special subset (e.g. the Anglo-Saxons).” TodayEconomySpecialPatternsCreditFeaturesDependentPrivate SectorOperating SystemsAnglo Saxon Author:Alan M. Taylor
“We have never in human history seen a run-up in credit of the kind we have just witnessed in advanced economies since 1970, and we have never observed modern finance-capitalist systems operating over a sustained period at this kind of credit-to-GDP leverage ratio.” HumansKindRunningEconomyModernPeriodsCreditFinanceCapitalistHuman HistoryRatiosGdp Author:Alan M. Taylor
“A possibility is that we see more and more leverage, and credit-to-GDP ratios rise once more to even higher levels; eventually the banking systems of all advanced economies reach magnitudes of 500 percent, 1000 percent or more of GDP, so that every economy starts to have financial systems that resemble recent cases like Switzerland, Ireland, Iceland, or Cyprus. That might be a very fragile world to live in.” WorldMightLevelsCasesEconomyPossibilityHigherPercentFinancialCreditFragileIrelandBankingMagnitudeHigher LevelRatiosSwitzerlandGdpBanking SystemFinancial SystemIcelandCyprus Author:Alan M. Taylor