“Wait... Wait... wait... you don't know the whole truth you just know a piece of the truth.”
Source: Notes Of A Dead Man Sequel
“Let's Jump Events provides bounce house rentals, water slides, and more to Sarasota, Brandon, Bradenton, Lakewood Ranch, Palmetto and Parrish, Florida and more. Whether you are having a backyard birthday party, a school function, a church picnic or a corporate event, Let's Jump Events has you covered. With all of the latest and greatest inflatables and rides like the Toxic Meltdown, mechanical bull rental, bungee trampoline and more, let us create a one of a kind event for you.”
“But they fly. It is what fledged birds must do, and she's always known that. The nest can't always be full.”
Source: The Silver Dark Sea
“Atom from atom yawns as far
As moon from earth, or star from star.”
Source: Collected Poems and Translations
“Weatherman says," Kev scoffed. "I wouldn't trust that silly bugger to know it's raining now.”
Source: Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children
“The old rule of forecasting was to make as many forecasts as possible and publicise the ones you got right. The new rule is to forecast so far in the future, no one will know you got it wrong.”
Source: Breakout Nations: In Pursuit of the Next Economic Miracles
“Who needs theory when you have so much information? But this is categorically the wrong attitude to take toward forecasting, especially in a field like economics where the data is so noisy.”
Source: The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't
“When we advance more confident claims and they fail to come to fruition, this constitutes much more powerful evidence against our hypothesis. We can't really blame anyone for losing faith when this occurs”
Source: The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't
“In all sorts of markets—music, film, art, and politics—the future of popularity will be harder to predict as the broadcast power of radio and television democratizes and the channels of exposure grow.... The gatekeepers had their day. Now there are simply too many gates to keep.”
Source: Hit Makers: The Science of Popularity in an Age of Distraction
“Nor, if the succession of events exercises a charm, is unpredictability by any means the least part of it. When a forecast is made, no matter what it may be, it is always tempting to prove it wrong. Events themselves often help us out in this regard. There are overpredicted events, for instance, that obligingly decline to occur; and then there are the exactly opposite kind - those which occur without forewarning. It behoves us to bank on such conjunctural surprises - such 'backdraughts'. We must bet on the Witz of events themselves. If we lose, at least we shall have had the satisfaction of defying the objective idiocy of the probabilities. This obligation is a vital function - part of our collective genetic heritage. Indeed, this is the only genuine function of the intellect: to embrace contradictions, to exercise irony, to take the opposite tack, to exploit rifts and reversibility - even to fly in the face of the lawful and the factual. If the intellectuals of today seem to have run out of things to say, this is because they have failed to assume this ironic function, confining themselves within the limits of their moral, political or philosophical consciousness despite the fact that the rules have changed, that all irony, all radical criticism now belongs exclusively to the haphazard, the viral, the catastrophic - to
accidental or system-led reversals. Such are the new rules of the game - such is the new principle of uncertainty that now holds sway over all. [...]”
Source: The Transparency of Evil: Essays in Extreme Phenomena