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Quote by Nate Silver

“As the statistician George E. P. Box wrote, "All models are wrong, but some models are useful." What he meant by that is that all models are simplifications of the universe, as they must necessarily be. As another mathematician said, "The best model of a cat is a cat." ... The key is in remembering that a model is a tool to help us understand the complexities of the universe, and never a substitute for the universe itself.”

Quote by Nate Silver

Book:The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don't

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Author

Nate Silver
Nate Silver

Nate Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and election forecaster. He is best known for accurately predicting the outcomes of the 2008 and 2012 U.S. presidential elections using statistical models. Silver founded the FiveThirtyEight website, which focuses on data-driven journalism in politics, sports, and science. His book 'The Signal and the Noise' explores the art and science of prediction. Silver's work emphasizes transparency and rigorous analysis, making him a leading figure in the data journalism movement. more

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