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Financial Risk Quotes

Browse 49 quotes about Financial Risk.

Financial Risk Quotes

“... Why do bank runs commence? The answer is psychology period some customers or counterparties come to believe a bank will not repay them so they pull their money out or close transactions as quickly as possible. They are not reassured by ... Press releases or positive comments by management. Word spreads, the withdrawals accelerate, and within days, sometimes hours, the bank closes its doors. From there it's an open issue whether the lost confidence spreads to other banks, in a process called contagion. No amount of capital or comment can stop a bank panic; it has a life of its own.”

“... why do bank runs commence? The answer is psychology. Some customers or counterparties come to believe a bank will not repay them so they pull their money out or close transactions as quickly as possible. They are not reassured by ... press releases or positive comments by management. Word spreads, the withdrawals accelerate, and within days, sometimes hours, the bank closes its doors. From there it's an open issue whether the lost confidence spreads to other banks, in a process called contagion. No amount of capital or comment can stop a bank panic; it has a life of its own.”

“If insolvency is not transparent or well understood, and if illiquidity is backstopped by the Federal Reserve, then why do bank runs commence? The answer is psychology. Some customers or counterparties come to believe a bank will not repay them so they pull their money out or close transactions as quickly as possible. They are not reassured by ... press releases or positive comments by management. Word spreads, the withdrawals accelerate, and within days, sometimes hours, the bank closes its doors. From there it's an open issue whether the lost confidence spreads to other banks, in a process called contagion. No amount of capital or comment can stop a bank panic; it has a life of its own. ... Enter AI. The next bank run may be triggered not by human panic but by AI imitating human panic. An AI bank analysis program with deeply layered neural networks and machine learning capability (perhaps complimented by a GPT capacity to speak with human analysts) Could read millions of pages of financial data on thousands of individual banks, far more than any team of human analysts could review. It's training set of materials provides familiarity with the dynamics of bank runs, basically an emerging property of a complex dynamic system, along with historical examples, worst case scenarios, and defensive moves. Events like the gold corner of 1869, the panic of 1907, the Great Depression of the 1930s, and the S&L crisis of the 1980s would all seem as fresh as today's news. This system would reach the same conclusion as a human analyst — move first, get your money out fast, don't be the last in line. The true danger is not that the machine thinks like a human — it's supposed to. The danger is that it can act faster and communicate with other machines.”

“A regulator's greatest fear is the sequential collapse of hedge funds, banks, and brokerages. That process is hard to spot and even harder to stop. ... There are two sides to every trade. In a crash there can be just as many winners as losers. The problem arises when the losers go out of business. At that point the winners can't collect so they become losers too. It's as if you were a big winner at roulette and went to the cashier to collect your winnings only to find the cashier window closed and the casino had just filed for bankruptcy. All you have left is a pocketful of worthless chips. At that point, even the market winners can fall into financial distress. Because of leverage, total losses can exceed the size of the market itself. It's like a minefield. Banks running from panic start stepping on mines.”

“While there's nothing new about financial panics, the role of AI/GPT is new and makes matters exponentially worse. That's not a criticism of AI which works as intended. It's a criticism of humans who don't understand the tool, over-rely on it, and allow it far too much autonomy in the trading process.”

“In general, markets have well-known inefficiencies. One is that transactions do not take into account the effect on others who are not party to them. These so-called externalities can be huge. That is particularly so in the case of financial institutions. Their task is to take risks, and if well managed, to ensure that potential losses to themselves will be covered. To themselves. Under capitalist rules, it is not their business to consider the cost to others. Risk is underpriced, because systemic risk is not priced into decisions. That leads to repeated crisis, naturally. This inherent deficiency of markets is well known.”

“GPT surpasses all ... when it comes to conversation, research, and writing. ... creating an algo[rithm] that sells stocks based on a large training set of materials, correlations to past crises, and commonsense heuristics aimed at not being the last one out of a burning barn is trivial. The danger ... is not in the single system but in the resonance of millions of similar systems doing the same thing at the same time. No science fiction is needed.”

“This ... he largest financial bailout in history ... was not just a bailout of SVB [Silicon Valley Bank]. It was a bailout of over fifty thousand SVB depositors with over $170 billion in deposits. It was a bailout of SVB's customers, it's employees, their suppliers, and the entire high-tech startup ecosystem in Silicon Valley and around the world.”

“This ... the largest financial bailout in history ... was not just a bailout of SVB [Silicon Valley Bank]. It was a bailout of over fifty thousand SVB depositors with over $170 billion in deposits. It was a bailout of SVB's customers, it's employees, their suppliers, and the entire high-tech startup ecosystem in Silicon Valley and around the world.”

“The trouble is that the risks that are being hedged very well by new financial securities are financial risks. And it appears to me that the real things you want to hedge are real risks, for example, risks in innovation. The fact is that you'd like companies to be able to take bigger chances. Presumably one obstacle to successful R&D, particularly when the costs are large, are the risks involved.”

“The securitisation of mortgages added a new dimension of systemic risk. Financial engineers claimed they were reducing risks through geographic diversification: in fact they were increasing them by creating an agency problem. The agents were more interested in maximising fee income than in protecting the interests of bondholders. That is the verity that was ignored by regulators and market participants alike.”

“The use of a growing array of derivatives and the related application of more-sophisticated approaches to measuring and managing risk are key factors underpinning the greater resilience of our largest financial institutions... Derivatives have permitted the unbundling of financial risks.”

“Being a startup entrepreneur is not for everybody and it’s not the only desirable career choice. I also know that many people have families and cost obligations that don’t allow the kinds of financial risks associated with starting a company. And for others the hours, stresses and sacrifices in personal relationships are not worth it.”