“What happens with fear is that probability doesn't matter very much. That is, once I have raised the possibility that something terrible can happen to your child, even though the possibility is remote, you may find it very difficult to think of anything else. Emotion becomes dominant.” ThinkingMayChildrenMatterHappensFearDifficultEmotionPossibilityTerribleOur ChildrenRaisedYour ChildrenDominantProbability Author:Daniel Kahneman
“Is the world ruled by strict laws or not? This question I regard as metaphysical. The laws we find are always hypotheses; which means that they may always be superseded, and that they may possibly be deduced from probability estimates. Yet denying causality would be the same as attempting to persuade the theorist to give up his search; and that such an attempt cannot be backed by anything like a proof.” WorldGivingMayMeanWould BeLawScienceGiving UpRegardProofStrictProbabilityMetaphysicalMechanicHypothesisAttemptingQuantum MechanicsTheoristsCausalityStrict Laws Book:The Logic of Scientific Discovery Source: The Logic of Scientific Discovery
“The student who would build his knowledge on solid foundations, and proceed by just degrees to the pinnacles of truth, is directed by the great philosopher of France to begin by doubting of his own existence. In like manner, whoever would complete any arduous and intricate enterprise, should, as soon as his imagination can cool after the first blaze of hope, place before his own eyes every possible embarrassment that may retard or defeat him. He should first question the probability of success, and then endeavour to remove the objections that he has raised.” ShouldFirstsMayEyeImaginationExistenceDoubtStudentsTruth IsDegreesFoundationRaisedDefeatPhilosopherFranceEnterpriseRemoveProbabilityEmbarrassmentObjectionsEndeavourIntricatePinnacleRetardSolid FoundationGreat Philosophers Book:The Rambler: A Periodical Paper, Published in 1750, 1751, 1752 Source: The Rambler: A Periodical Paper, Published in 1750, 1751, 1752
“We cannot judge either of the feelings or of the characters of men with perfect accuracy from their actions or their appearance in public; it is from their careless conversations, their half-finished sentences, that we may hope with the greatest probability of success to discover their real characters.” MenMayRealCharacterFeelingsActionPerfectHalfJudgingConversationAppearanceSentencesFinishedProbabilityCarelessAccuracyReal CharacterCharacter Of A Man Book:Castle Rackrent Source: Castle Rackrent