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Predictability Quotes

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Predictability Quotes

“The government - the ultimate short-term-oriented player - cannot withstand much pain in the economy or the financial markets. Bailouts and rescues are likely to occur, though not with sufficient predictability for investors to comfortably take advantage. The government will take enormous risks in such interventions, especially if the expenses can be conveniently deferred to the future. Some of the price-tag is in the form of back- stops and guarantees, whose cost is almost impossible to determine.”

IfsGovernmentPainFormTermEconomyPlayerImpossibleRiskCostAdvantageUltimateFinancialDetermineEnormousSufficientGuaranteesExpensesInvestorsRescueInterventionShort TermTagFinancial MarketsPredictabilityPrice TagBailouts
Author:Seth Klarman
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“The gross profits in many workouts appear quite small. It's a little like looking for parking meters with some time left on them. However, the predictability coupled with a short holding period produces quite decent average annual rates of return after allowance for the occasional substantial loss.”

LittlesLeftLossProduceReturnPeriodsRateAverageProfitDecentWorkoutGrossOccasionalParkingMeterAnnualsAllowancePredictabilityTime LeftParking Meters
Author:Warren Buffett
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“I started taking classes and doing things that I had always wanted to do but couldn't because I was working. I signed up for a bunch of workout classes, and to my surprise, I realized I was enjoying it. Because I was working out so much, I started looking for more workout clothes and found a lot of redundancy - predictability that was uninspired. That's when I decided to start my own line.”

WantedFoundEnjoyLinesMy OwnClassClothesDecidedSurpriseWork OutI RealizedBunchWorkoutPredictabilityRedundancyUninspiredWorkout Clothes
Author:Dayna Devon
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“Though we think intrinsic desires tend to be pretty stable, we do not think they imply anything like the amount of predictability in behavior that traditional virtue ethics requires for someone to have a one-word-in-English character trait such as "benevolence". Other things being equal, a person with more of a desire for other people's wellbeing will do more for other people's wellbeing, but things are almost never equal.”

ThinkingCharacterDesireVirtueEqualBehaviorEthicsTraitsBenevolenceWellbeingPredictabilityBeing EqualCharacter Trait
Author:Nomy Arpaly
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“One of the things that makes me the most nervous is that the Middle East has historically had a sense of predictability. You may have a terrorist incident or you may have a revisionist regime like the Iranians, but on the whole, the region is twenty countries. On the whole, you go to bed and you wake up and you have a pretty good idea that most of those twenty are doing just fine, you don't have to pay attention to them. There's some stuff going on but you don't have to worry about a governmental overthrow that will suddenly force you to evacuate your embassies.”

CountryAttentionWorryWake UpTerroristNervousPay AttentionPredictability
Author:Ilan Berman
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“Throughout my life, I have been fascinated by predictability and frustrated by our inability to predict. I don't believe it makes sense for our generation to believe or pretend that we can solve the problems of the future because do not understand what these problems will be. Just do this thought experiment: Imagine you're in month of May 1914, and try to work out a plan of action for the next 100 years! Hardly anything will make sense.”

TryingBelieveProblemActionImagineWork OutMake SenseFrustratedPredictability
Author:Lennart Bengtsson
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“The forest stretched on seemingly forever with the most monotonous predictability, each tree just like the next - trunk, branches, leaves; trunk, branches, leaves. Of course a tree would have taken a different view of the matter. We all tend to see the way others are alike and how we differ, and it's probably just as well we do, since that prevents a great deal of confusion. But perhaps we should remind ourselves from time to time that ours is a very partial view, and that the world is full of a great deal more variety than we ever manage to take in.”

WorldWayShouldWellsDifferentMatterCoursesNextViewsDealsForeverTakenTreeForestsConfusionManageVarietyBranchesMonotonousTrunksPredictabilityDifferent Views
Author:Thomas M. Disch
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“I don't think anyone aims to be typical, really. Most people even vow to themselves some time in high school or college not to be typical. But still, they just kind of loop back to it somehow. Like the circular rails of a train at an amusement park, the scripts we know offer a brand of security, of predictability, of safety for us. But the problem is, they only take us where we've already been. They loop us back to places where everyone can easily go, not necessarily where we were made to go. Living a different kind of life takes some guts and grit and a new way of seeing things.”

PeopleThinkingKnowsWayKindMadeStillsDifferentProblemSchoolSeeingSecurityCollegeOffersHigh SchoolAimSafetyTrainScriptsBrandsParksGutsDifferent KindsNew WaysTypicalAmusementVowGritRailLoopsPredictabilityAmusement Parks
Book:Love Does: Discover a Secretly Incredible Life in an Ordinary World
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“Well, coming at a new work requires a certain amount of patience and energy, and there’s always the risk of disappointment. You can’t really blame people for preferring more of what they already know and like. The trade-off, of course, is that predictability is boring. Repetition is the death of magic.”

PeopleKnowsWellsCertainCoursesEnergyRiskMagicAmountBlameTradeDisappointmentBoringRepetitionPredictabilityTrade OffsNew Work
Author:Bill Watterson
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“I don't know. Maybe we're all chaos theorists. Lovers of pattern and predictability, we're scared shitless of explosive change. But we're fascinated by it, too. Drawn to it. Travelers tap their brakes to ogle the mutilation and mangled metal on the side of the interstate, and the traffic backs up for miles. Hijacked planes crash into skyscrapers, breached levees drown a city, and CNN and the networks rush to the scene so that we can all sit in front of our TVs and feast on the footage. Stare, stunned, at the pandemonium--the devils let loose from their cages.”

KnowsSidesCitiesFrontsTvsLoversSceneDevilChaosPatternsScaredMilesPlanesStaringFascinatedMetalsCrashTrafficTravelerCagesExplosivesCnnStunnedTheoristsBrakeSkyscraperPredictabilityInterstateMutilationPlane CrashesPandemoniumLevees
Author:Wally Lamb
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“I am convinced that whenever we exaggerate or demonize, oversimplify or overstate our case, we lose. Whenever we dumb down the political debate, we lose. For it's precisely the pursuit of ideological purity, the rigid orthodoxy and the sheer predictability of our current political debate, that keeps us from finding new ways to meet the challenges we face.”

WayFacesPoliticalLosesChallengesCasesFindingsCurrentsConvincedDebatePursuitDumbPurityNew WaysSheerOrthodoxyIdeologicalAccuracyPredictabilityChallenges We FacePolitical Debates
Book:The Audacity of Hope: Thoughts on Reclaiming the American Dream
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“Don't play it safe. Resist the seductions of the cowardly values our society has come to prize so highly: comfort, convenience, security, predictability, control. These, too, are nets. Above all, resist the fear of failure. Yes, you will make mistakes. But they will be your mistakes, not someone else's. And you will survive them, and you will know yourself better for having made them, and you will be a fuller and a stronger person.”

KnowsPersonsMadePlayValuesMistakeSecurityComfortSafeStrongerMaking MistakesOur SocietyPrizeSeductionKnow YourselfConvenienceFear Of FailureCowardlyPredictabilityStronger Person
Author:William Deresiewicz
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“Sex cannot be understood because nature cannot be understood. Science is a method of logical analysis of nature's operations. It has lessened human anxiety about the cosmos by demonstrating the materiality of nature's forces, and their frequent predictability. But science is always playing catch-up ball. Nature breaks its own rules whenever it wants. Science cannot avert a single thunderbolt. Western science is a product of the Apollonian mind: its hope is that by naming and classification, by the cold light of intellect, archaic night can be pushed back and defeated.”

WantMindHumansLightNightForceSexBreakProductsColdAnxietyUnderstoodBallsMethodWesternIntellectOperationsAnalysisCosmosLogicalDefeatedDemonstratingClassificationPredictabilityAvertThunderboltsMateriality
Author:Camille
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“The Universe forces those who live in it to understand it. Those creatures who find everyday experience a muddled jumble of events with no predictability, no regularity, are in grave peril. The Universe belongs to those who, at least to some degree, have figured it out.”

UniverseForceEventsCreaturesDegreesEverydayGravesPerilRegularityPredictability
Book:Broca's brain: reflections on the romance of science
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“Freedom means freedom from forces and circumstances which would turn man into a thing, which would impose on man the passivity and predictability of matter. By this test, absolute power is the manifestation most inimical to human uniqueness. Absolute power wants to turn people into malleable clay.”

PeopleMenWantHumansMeanMatterTurnsForcePowerHe ManCircumstancesTestsAbsolutesManifestationUniquenessClayPassivityAbsolute PowerPredictability
Book:Between the Devil and the Dragon: The Best Essays and Aphorisms of Eric Hoffer
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“My books are about ordinary people, like you, me, people on the street, people who really have an expectation of reasonable happiness in life, want their life to have a sense of security and predictability, who want to belong to something bigger than them, who want love and affection in their life, who want a good future for the children.”

PeopleWantChildrenBookStreetsSecurityLike YouOrdinaryExpectationsBiggerAffectionReasonableOrdinary PeopleLife HappinessPredictabilityLove And AffectionGood Future
Author:Khaled Hosseini
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