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The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume II - Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty

Book by Roger Spitz · 31 quotes · Foresight, Futures Thinking, Antifragile

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The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume II - Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty Quotes

“Foresight does not seek to predict, but to drive imagination to inform decision-making and the actions required today in light of the potential futures ahead. Foresight prepares you for the swerves.”

ChangeDecision MakingForesightAssumptionsUnpredictabilityPredictionFutures Thinking
Book:The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume II - Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty
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“None of these were “Black Swans,” which is the “go to” taxonomy for C-suites and policymakers justifying their surprise in the face of the assumptions they made about the world, signals they chose to ignore, and preparation they decided to skimp on.”

AnticipationForesightAssumptionsUnpredictabilityFutures ThinkingAntifragile
Book:The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume II - Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty
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“The objective is not to get the future right. Rather, our work spurs better preparation for any of the futures which may arise.”

AnticipationForesightUnpredictabilityPredictionFutures ThinkingAntifragileAntifragilityAnticipatory
Book:The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume II - Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty
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“The imagined suppression of uncertainty is nothing more than a mirage… The future is unknown, and we all constantly make assumptions. But to rely on assumptions as if they were certainty is irresponsible.”

RiskResilienceUncertaintyForesightAssumptionsFutures ThinkingAntifragileAnticipatory
Book:The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume II - Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty
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“Systemic disruption requires us to accept that there may be no measurable data to fully substantiate our understanding of those disruptions. Imaging and exploring the multiplicity of potential futures which may arise from disruptions is a creative exercise, not a number-crunching one.”

ComplexityUnpredictableForesightDisruptionSystems ThinkingFutures ThinkingCascadeInterconnections
Book:The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume II - Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty
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“If we are to remain relevant, we must create innovative social and economic ecosystems that become stronger under stress and through shocks.”

RelevanceForesightSystems ThinkingFragilityResiliencyFutures ThinkingAntifragility
Book:The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume II - Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty
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“To achieve alignment by stakeholders across time horizons, long-term thinking needs to prevail in a world of endemic short-termism.”

InnovationAlignmentForesightFutures ThinkingShort Term ThinkingLong Term ThinkingStakeholdersolders
Book:The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume II - Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty
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