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Quote by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Fragility

This second edition of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's influential work expands on the concept of the Black Swan—an event that is highly improbable, carries extreme impact, and is rationalized in hindsight. The book examines how such events dominate our world, from financial crashes to technological breakthroughs, and critiques the limitations of standard statistical tools and human cognitive biases in anticipating them. The updated edition includes new material on fragility, robustness, and antifragility, offering a deeper framework for navigating uncertainty and randomness in complex systems. more

Author

Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a renowned author, scholar, and thinker whose unique perspective and profound insights have had a wide-reaching impact in fields such as finance, statistics, and philosophy. He is best known for his books 'The Black Swan' and 'Fooled by Randomness', which have explored the nature of uncertainty, risk, and probability theory. more

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“Cumulative errors depend largely on the big surprises, the big opportunities. Not only do economic, financial, and political predictors miss them, but they are quite ashamed to say anything outlandish to their clients and yet events, it turns out, are almost always outlandish.”

“They are born, put in a box; they go home to live in a box; they study by ticking boxes; they go to what is called "work" in a box, where they sit in their cubicle box; they drive to the grocery store in a box to buy food in a box; they talk about thinking "outside the box"; and when they die they are put in a box.”