Quotessence
Home / Quotes / Quote by Philip E. Tetlock

Quote by Philip E. Tetlock

“Researchers have found that merely asking people to assume their initial judgment is wrong, to seriously consider why that might be, and then make another judgment, produces a second estimate which, when combined with the first, improves accuracy almost as much as getting a second estimate from another person.”

Quote by Philip E. Tetlock

Book:Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Create image

Work

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Browse quotes and source details for this work. more

Author

Philip E. Tetlock

Browse famous quotes and profile details for Philip E. Tetlock. more

You May Also Like

“We need to eliminate the concept of division by class, skills, race, income, religion, and nationality. Every human requires food and water to survive and every human has a heart that bleeds, loves, and grieves.”

LoveHeartReligionUnitedGriefRaceEducationClassBloodSkillsHumanEqualityIncomeManWomanDivisionChildNationalityNationEthnicitySuzy KassemGrieveLovesUniteBleedDivideGrieves
Book:Rise Up and Salute the Sun: The Writings of Suzy Kassem
Create image

“We want to believe. Young students try to believe in older authors, constituents try to believe in their congressmen, countries try to believe in their statesmen, but they can't. Too many voices, too much scattered, illogical, ill-considered criticism. It's worse in the case of newspapers. Any rich, unprogressive old party with that particularly grasping, acquisitive form of mentality known as financial genius can own a paper that is the intellectual meat and drink of thousands of tired, hurried men, men too involved in the business of modern living to swallow anything but predigested food. For two cents the voter buys his politics, prejudices and philosophy. A year later there is a new political ring or a change in the paper's ownership, consequence: more confusion, more contradiction, a sudden inrush of new ideas, their tempering, their distillation, the reaction against them -”

MediaF Scott FitzgeraldThis Side Of Paradise
Book:This Side of Paradise
Create image