“The whole is not merely different from the sum of its parts - the whole lacks a clear relationship to the parts’ sum.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Metaruptions are constantly evolving. The signals provide feedback loops that help appreciate how dynamic futures may take shape. However, we need to pay careful attention to compounding forces, which could spill over into irreversible tipping points.
To comprehend disruption, we need to decipher its fundamental drivers, forces, and influences. Identifying these drivers, and their synthesis as metaruptions, can inform decision-making.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Abolishing the dualism between short-term and long-term goals necessitates iteration and the integration of feedback in our dynamic world.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“With complex, systemic challenges such as climate, there are no individual winners. Collectively addressing carbon impact means we all win, or we all lose.”
Source: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume IV - Disruption as a Springboard to Value Creation
“In a systemic world, there is no such thing as a discrete or isolated event - impacts cascade and spill over.”
Source: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume I - Reframing and Navigating Disruption
“Withstanding systemic disruption requires effectiveness over efficiency.”
Source: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume IV - Disruption as a Springboard to Value Creation
“Systemic disruption will continue to drive significant shifts in business models, value creation, and value destruction.”
Source: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume IV - Disruption as a Springboard to Value Creation
“Existential risks all have the ability to defy sustainability. There is no sustainability without mitigating existential risks.”
Source: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume IV - Disruption as a Springboard to Value Creation
“The only way to reinvent a business model for today’s complex world is to approach it like a system.”
Source: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume IV - Disruption as a Springboard to Value Creation
“Society is on the road to the paradox of polarization and uniformity.”
Source: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume III - Beta Your Life: Existence in a Disruptive World
“The world is shifting from one of credentials to one of capabilities.”
Source: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume III - Beta Your Life: Existence in a Disruptive World
“Disruption is no longer merely a single or recurring event, but a steady state, expanding its impact. In short, while disruption has always existed, it is now disrupting itself.”
Source: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume I - Reframing and Navigating Disruption
“Ransomware attacks are not only increasing in scale and frequency, but also sophistication.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Science fiction anticipated many of today’s existential questions... Science fiction provides an ethical platform for debate, to anticipate what might arise.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“How the West reacts to China’s rise will be an epoch-defining driver of disruption.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“At some point, we may come to experience the collapse of trends in their entirety, replaced by the constant emergence of a multitude of micro-trends. Welcome to the end of trends.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Long-term thinking fleshes out short-term opportunities.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“The roles we play today - an explorer, pioneer or settler - affect all the horizons.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Greenaissance will continue to drive fundamental shifts in business models and transfers in value.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Disruption 3.0 compounds systemic disruptive effects. As complex environments are hyperconnected, hazards and opportunities interact multiplicatively.”
Source: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume II - Essential Frameworks for Disruption and Uncertainty
“For those intent on business as usual, the scope of value destruction is growing.”
Source: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume IV - Disruption as a Springboard to Value Creation
“Tomorrow’s beef and dairy industries may face the same existential challenges as today’s fossil fuel industry.”
Source: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume IV - Disruption as a Springboard to Value Creation
“Disruption’s impact can vary greatly depending on (i) your perspective, (ii) degree of preparation and (iii) the nature and timing of your response.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“At any point, the information available for decision-making is historical... The single most dangerous mistake is looking at disruption as isolated cases or independent episodic events.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“The impacts of disruption depend on your perspective, preparation and response.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Slack is inexpensive when you don’t need it but exorbitantly costly when you don’t have it. Incorporate buffer space to enhance agility.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Relying on arbitrary assumptions does not help quantify the unquantifiable, nor make the unknowable known.”
Source: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume I - Reframing and Navigating Disruption
“Insights from data can be invaluable as feedback for decision-making, but should never be confused with being a proxy for the future, a predictor of the future, nor the future itself.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Given the inverse relationship between predictability and uncertainty, the cost of maintaining business as usual rises significantly.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Metaruptions cause widespread, self-perpetuating effects that extend beyond their initial disruptions. As early changes spill over, impacts combine, propagate, and modify other elements within the system. Imagining the interplay of metaruptions is a creative endeavour, not a number-crunching exercise.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Ecosystems have the power to positively disrupt economic systems. BMaaS (Business Models-as-a-System) harness open ecosystems as a complex set of interacting relationships and networks. The stronger these relationships, the more resilient the systems.”
Source: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume IV - Disruption as a Springboard to Value Creation
“In tight coupling, small ripples in quiet waters become tidal waves.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“The lines between sectors may be vanishing; when will the line between human and machine also fade?”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“What is the flow and impact of disinformation? How is the disinformation spreading and what are its effects?”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“In non-linear environments, assumptions amplify.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“In our UN-VICE world (UNknown, Volatile, Intersecting, Complex & Exponential), the lines between the present and future are becoming blurred, more liminal.”
Source: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume I - Reframing and Navigating Disruption
“Uncertainty is an inherent trait of the future.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“In contrast to advice, our UN-VICE is not a suggestion of behavior or a mandate. Instead, our UN-VICE is a way to decipher changing circumstances imaginatively. All advice should be carefully considered, combined with an emphasis on developing and trusting our own capabilities.
In our increasingly UN-VICE world, the value of recommendations is rapidly decreasing. Systemic disruption has devalued ad-vice; instead, we offer our best UN-VICE. Inspired by Richard Feynman, we must explore unanswered questions, rather than adhering to unquestionable answers.
Zen Master Suzuki Roshi said “In the beginner’s mind there are many possibilities, but in the expert’s there are few.” Our UN-VICE draws from the three stages of the Japanese martial arts concept shuhari. In the first stage, shu, the student masters the established fundamentals. In the second stage, ha, the learner practices and experiments with novel approaches, guided by their own unique perspectives. In the third stage, ri, they break loose from confining rulebooks to adapt freely to any situation. Shuhari is a journey, a continuous process of learning, experimenting, and letting go.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Our navigational toolbox equips us with compasses calibrated for the unpredictable.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Our world is facing new tensions, contradictions, complexities, and uncertainties. This new reality is the basis for our own version of VUCA, updated with two additional features: Intersecting and Exponential. In an UN-VICE world, these concepts are as important as UNknown, Volatile, and Complex. We must go beyond automatically relying on advice and start forming our own UN-VICE to survive. Proposing yet another acronym is risky - we hope the acronym police will be merciful.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“UN-VICE as a constant environment of the world:
The UN-VICE environment is an inherent constant. It is easier to imagine the world as predictable, but this world does not exist. Reality will continue to display UN-VICE features: UNknown, Volatile, Intersecting, Complex, Exponential.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Many organizations and militaries use VUCA as an acronym to describe the disruptive state of the world, given its Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, and Ambiguity.
UN-VICE is an updated way of capturing the state and velocity of the world, with our acronym for UNknown, Volatile, Intersecting, Complex, and Exponential:
- UNknown: Recognizing that you can’t know anything perfectly, and that many of our decisions are based on assumptions. Increased uncertainty lowers the value of ad-vice and requires increased self-reliance.
- Volatile: Our world, and change itself, is evolving faster than ever before. Volatility is not inherently good or bad; it is simply impactful. In volatility we see shifting speed, texture, and magnitude of the changing environment.
- Intersecting: The broader our filters, the more we realize that what we observe overlaps with other things. Boundaries are disappearing, connecting new areas through combinations.
- Complex: These more-than-complicated systems have unreliable input-output relationships and cannot be summarized or modeled without losing their essence. Unpredictable situations with unknown unknowns.
- Exponential: A nonlinear type of change that increases in its growth rate. To an observer, this change may happen gradually, then suddenly. Rapid acceleration of seemingly-small shifts.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Ultimately, incentive structures and systems drive ESG investing, which can be disingenuous. Structurally, public market investors continue to focus on the incentives which maximize their financial returns, even while taking certain ESG inputs into account in their portfolio allocations. Only by regulating and incentivizing the actual outcomes might investors alter their investment strategies towards new rewards based on ESG outputs.”
Source: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume IV - Disruption as a Springboard to Value Creation
“Techistentialism studies the nature of human beings, existence and decision-making in our technological world.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“As we face inseparable technological and existential conditions, we enter an era of Techistentialism. AI will increasingly provide insights that enable more-informed predictive decision-making, humans should remain wary of an inadvertent reliance on prescriptive algorithms dictating specific decisions. Complex and uncertain environments inherently involve unknown unknowns; these are situations where we need to be agile despite the lack of immediate answers.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Maybe the existential risk is not machines taking over the world, but rather the opposite, where humans start responding like idle machines - unable to connect the emerging dots of our UN-VICE world.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Climate intelligence enables action-oriented, climate-aligned decisions to mitigate risks, build resilient adaptation, and identify emerging opportunities.”
Source: The Definitive Guide to Thriving on Disruption: Volume IV - Disruption as a Springboard to Value Creation
“The smarter you iterate, the faster you’ll unravel the maze. Each attempt, even if they fail, reveals insights and narrows the ambiguity. Success emerges in retrospect.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Once achieved, maintaining relevance requires constant listening, questioning, prototyping and testing.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Disruption is no longer a single or recurring event, but a steady state expanding its impact.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World