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“Opportunities arise by moving from silos to systems and rethinking the structures that incentivize our actions.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Be empowered to overcome challenges and seize new opportunities for success and growth.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Building antifragile foundations is like building an immune system.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“To remain relevant in the age of AI, we must actively build antifragile foundations that are resilient under stress, and strengthen with shocks.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“This asymmetry means that the fragile suffers a disproportionate amount of downside from shocks.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Decentralized systems can offer more resilience and antifragility, as this single point of failure does not exist.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Developing antifragility means focusing on the amplitude of potential consequences, not the probability.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Resilience is a prerequisite to antifragility.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Human and intellectual capital may be the most important intangible assets.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“What is our UN-VICE in the context of Disruption 3.0?
To sum up, UN-VICE is an updated way of capturing the state of the world. Framing the dynamics of systemic disruption as UNknown, Volatile, Intersecting, Complex, Exponential enables an empowering response. We are not helpless victims unable to make decisions. With UN-VICE, we have the power to shape our own futures.
KEY POINTS: OUR UN-VICE ACRONYM
- UNknown: Uncertainty becomes our comfort zone. Recognize you can’t know anything perfectly and many decisions are based on assumptions. Increased uncertainty lowers the value of advice and requires increased self-reliance. Learn how to respond regardless of the lack of precedents.
- Volatile: Harness change for gain. Our world, and change itself, is evolving faster than ever before. Volatility is not new; we simply can’t ignore its impact. In volatility, we see the shifting speed and texture of the changing environment.
- Intersecting: Everything connects to everything else. The broader our lens, the greater the insights gained from realizing how boundaries are disappearing.
- Complex: Notice emergent properties and adapt. In complex environments, inputs do not map clearly to outputs. Practitioners must acknowledge emergent properties and reconcile the immediate with the indefinite. Such systems require critical thinking, experimentation, and judgment. Evaluate emerging issues, build resiliency, and learn to adapt to expanding complexity.
- Exponential: Pay attention to nonlinear types of change that increase in growth rate. Notice rapid acceleration of seemingly small shifts. Monitoring early on will mean fewer surprises.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Over the past 35 years, the percentage of intangible assets almost tripled. While indispensable for value creation, the potential speed of obsolescence can dampen the resilience of intangible assets.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“In a VUCA world, if you’re not consciously confused, you’re ignorant. If you’re not preparing, you’re negligent.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“The Red Queen Race necessitates being fast and astute. Speed alone is insufficient.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Be agile in decision-making - there may be no right answers.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“In the age of AI, we explore the agility needed for humans to stay relevant in the decision-making process.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Healthcare is shifting from diagnosis to prevention and augmentation, blurring the line between human and technology.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“The eventuality of a global pandemic was certain, leaving uncertain only the timing and impact.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“While futurists imagine multiple possible futures, quantum physicists research multiple present realities.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Rare is becoming less rare.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Governments and organizations that fail to build strong cyber capabilities will be particularly vulnerable in this new era.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“The difference between a Black Swan and another Complex Five lies in the extent of our preparation, assumptions and imagination.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Loosely coupled systems enable experimentation and learning, benefitting from feedback loops.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“A single triggering phenomenon can generate an avalanche of disproportionate - and seemingly disparate - impacts when the simultaneous ripple effects collide.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“A feedback loop is a process in which the outputs of a system are cycled back as inputs.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“In these paradigm shifts, addressing individual parts of a problem will not resolve anything.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Consider systemic interconnections and next-order implications from initial change.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“With complex, systemic challenges, there are no individual winners. Collectively addressing these means we all win; failure means we all lose.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“AI won’t replace humans, but people who can use it will.” This sounds reassuring, but it oversimplifies the complex future of work and AI integration. Experts predict a surge in opportunities, but the intricate interplay between cognification, mass automation, and how we work remains uncharted. The net effect of AI on employment is unknown - we have no data on the future.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Certainty is fleeting, but through experimentation, systems innovation and trial-and-error, instructive patterns emerge as guidance.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“The true impact of innovation isn’t in its disruptiveness; rather, it lies in its ability to ignite hope, unlock new possibilities and catalyse positive transformations across systems.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“The world is not made up of isolated controllable parts. And so the strings, wires and controls used to manage this illusionary world are obsolete.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“The whole is not merely different from the sum of its parts - the whole lacks a clear relationship to the parts’ sum.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Metaruptions are constantly evolving. The signals provide feedback loops that help appreciate how dynamic futures may take shape. However, we need to pay careful attention to compounding forces, which could spill over into irreversible tipping points.
To comprehend disruption, we need to decipher its fundamental drivers, forces, and influences. Identifying these drivers, and their synthesis as metaruptions, can inform decision-making.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Abolishing the dualism between short-term and long-term goals necessitates iteration and the integration of feedback in our dynamic world.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Ransomware attacks are not only increasing in scale and frequency, but also sophistication.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Science fiction anticipated many of today’s existential questions... Science fiction provides an ethical platform for debate, to anticipate what might arise.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“How the West reacts to China’s rise will be an epoch-defining driver of disruption.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“At some point, we may come to experience the collapse of trends in their entirety, replaced by the constant emergence of a multitude of micro-trends. Welcome to the end of trends.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Long-term thinking fleshes out short-term opportunities.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“The roles we play today - an explorer, pioneer or settler - affect all the horizons.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Greenaissance will continue to drive fundamental shifts in business models and transfers in value.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Disruption’s impact can vary greatly depending on (i) your perspective, (ii) degree of preparation and (iii) the nature and timing of your response.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“At any point, the information available for decision-making is historical... The single most dangerous mistake is looking at disruption as isolated cases or independent episodic events.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“The impacts of disruption depend on your perspective, preparation and response.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Slack is inexpensive when you don’t need it but exorbitantly costly when you don’t have it. Incorporate buffer space to enhance agility.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Insights from data can be invaluable as feedback for decision-making, but should never be confused with being a proxy for the future, a predictor of the future, nor the future itself.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Given the inverse relationship between predictability and uncertainty, the cost of maintaining business as usual rises significantly.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“Metaruptions cause widespread, self-perpetuating effects that extend beyond their initial disruptions. As early changes spill over, impacts combine, propagate, and modify other elements within the system. Imagining the interplay of metaruptions is a creative endeavour, not a number-crunching exercise.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“In tight coupling, small ripples in quiet waters become tidal waves.”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World
“The lines between sectors may be vanishing; when will the line between human and machine also fade?”
Source: Disrupt With Impact: Achieve Business Success in an Unpredictable World